For your second question, within our community, Owain Evans seems to have good thoughts on the UK. alexrj (on this forum) and Vidur Kapur are based in the UK and they both do forecasting pretty actively, so they presumably have reasonable thoughts/internal models about different covid-19 related issues for the UK. To know more, you probably want to follow UK-based domain experts too. I don’t know who are the best epidemiologists to follow in the UK, though you can probably figure this out pretty quickly from who Owain/Alex/Vidur listen to.
For your first question, I have neither a really good generalizable model or object-level insights to convey at this moment, sorry. I’ll update you if something comes up!
For your second question, within our community, Owain Evans seems to have good thoughts on the UK. alexrj (on this forum) and Vidur Kapur are based in the UK and they both do forecasting pretty actively, so they presumably have reasonable thoughts/internal models about different covid-19 related issues for the UK. To know more, you probably want to follow UK-based domain experts too. I don’t know who are the best epidemiologists to follow in the UK, though you can probably figure this out pretty quickly from who Owain/Alex/Vidur listen to.
For your first question, I have neither a really good generalizable model or object-level insights to convey at this moment, sorry. I’ll update you if something comes up!