I will forecast a personal question for you e.g. “How many new friends will I make this year?” What do you want to ask me?
In 2021, what percentage of my working hours will I spend on things that I would consider to be forecasting or forecasting-adjacent?
I’ll make a distribution. Do you want to make a distribution too and then we can compare?
https://elicit.ought.org/builder/RT9kxWoF9 My distribution! Good question Linch; it had a fun mix of investigative LinkedIn sleuthing + decomposition + reasoning about Linch + thoughts that I could sense others might disagree with.
I will forecast a personal question for you e.g. “How many new friends will I make this year?” What do you want to ask me?
In 2021, what percentage of my working hours will I spend on things that I would consider to be forecasting or forecasting-adjacent?
I’ll make a distribution. Do you want to make a distribution too and then we can compare?
https://elicit.ought.org/builder/RT9kxWoF9 My distribution! Good question Linch; it had a fun mix of investigative LinkedIn sleuthing + decomposition + reasoning about Linch + thoughts that I could sense others might disagree with.