I wouldn’t say that I have “a lot of” skepticism about the applicability of the EMH in this case; you only need realism to believe that the bar is above USDT and Covid, for a case where nobody ever says ‘oops’ and the market never pays out.
Not until timelines are even blatantly shorter than present and long-term loans are on offer, and not unless there’s something useful to actually do with the money.
I wouldn’t say that I have “a lot of” skepticism about the applicability of the EMH in this case; you only need realism to believe that the bar is above USDT and Covid, for a case where nobody ever says ‘oops’ and the market never pays out.
What do you make of the ‘impatient philanthropy’ argument? Do you think EAs should be borrowing to spend on AI safety?
Not until timelines are even blatantly shorter than present and long-term loans are on offer, and not unless there’s something useful to actually do with the money.