Thanks for sharing this! I have a few large projects on the horizon, and while none of them are within five orders of magnitude of the examples mentioned here, I feel like I can still identify some snags to watch out for (in particular, doing more research to ensure the end results won’t be “underutilized”).
Investigating the field more deeply this year is going to be one of my hobby projects, but my early impression is that a big part of the claim is that when you do regular project management things wrong, the penalty at least scales. It also looks like the cost of doing the analysis right, such as reference class forecasting, doesn’t come remotely close to scaling with the needs of the project.
I’m glad about this, because I was worried at first the whole inquiry might be useless except to people in a position of responsibility. Instead, it looks like there will be a lot of methods that are always a good idea but also scale really well. Bonus!
Thanks for sharing this! I have a few large projects on the horizon, and while none of them are within five orders of magnitude of the examples mentioned here, I feel like I can still identify some snags to watch out for (in particular, doing more research to ensure the end results won’t be “underutilized”).
Investigating the field more deeply this year is going to be one of my hobby projects, but my early impression is that a big part of the claim is that when you do regular project management things wrong, the penalty at least scales. It also looks like the cost of doing the analysis right, such as reference class forecasting, doesn’t come remotely close to scaling with the needs of the project.
I’m glad about this, because I was worried at first the whole inquiry might be useless except to people in a position of responsibility. Instead, it looks like there will be a lot of methods that are always a good idea but also scale really well. Bonus!