Thanks yes I would agree the article might hold water if UK Nurses made up over perhaps 60 percent of emigration
Even on a sanity check there’s no chance only 2000ish nurses leave Nigeria every year. It’s way too low to even be plausible. I think there’s a major issue here (which is common and somewhat understandable) with giving credence to sources because they are perceived to be “trustworthy’ even when their numbers are obviously meaningless. The WHO and OECD data cited should be dismissed out of hand for absurdity, but I think Lee gives it credence because it is seen as an official source.
The nurses council in Nigeria has come out publication multiple times saying that at 45,000 nurses have left over the last 3 years and 16,000 last year. Noone has refuted them even though it would probably be in the interest of the Nigerian government and Western countries for PR reason to do so. These numbers may well be exaggerated a little sure (we can’t know) , but this is the most direct, proximal data we have and has been cited on news articles for months now. I don’t see a good reason to take other secondary data sources seriously that fail a sanity check.
I’ve appreciated this response.
The biggest discrepancy seems to be around the number of nurses:
Lee writes that 1,709 nurses emigrated from Nigeria to the UK in a year, and that the UK takes ~85% of the total.
Nick cites a Guardian article claiming that 15,000 nurses emigrate per year, and says that less than 25% go to the UK
Any insight on these large differences?
Thanks yes I would agree the article might hold water if UK Nurses made up over perhaps 60 percent of emigration
Even on a sanity check there’s no chance only 2000ish nurses leave Nigeria every year. It’s way too low to even be plausible. I think there’s a major issue here (which is common and somewhat understandable) with giving credence to sources because they are perceived to be “trustworthy’ even when their numbers are obviously meaningless. The WHO and OECD data cited should be dismissed out of hand for absurdity, but I think Lee gives it credence because it is seen as an official source.
The nurses council in Nigeria has come out publication multiple times saying that at 45,000 nurses have left over the last 3 years and 16,000 last year. Noone has refuted them even though it would probably be in the interest of the Nigerian government and Western countries for PR reason to do so. These numbers may well be exaggerated a little sure (we can’t know) , but this is the most direct, proximal data we have and has been cited on news articles for months now. I don’t see a good reason to take other secondary data sources seriously that fail a sanity check.