We did do some forecasting of timelines and takeover based on the Carlsmith report, but the data isn’t recorded super well (and some people could only make some of the multiple sessions, etc.) which is why I was a bit vague in the post. Also the forecasts were for 2070 rather than 2100.
I’ll see if I can get some updated forecasts within the next week or so and get back to you.
Glad the forecasts and reasoning were useful!
We did do some forecasting of timelines and takeover based on the Carlsmith report, but the data isn’t recorded super well (and some people could only make some of the multiple sessions, etc.) which is why I was a bit vague in the post. Also the forecasts were for 2070 rather than 2100.
I’ll see if I can get some updated forecasts within the next week or so and get back to you.