Just published some up-to-date forecasts here!
A few of the headline aggregate forecasts are:25% chance of misaligned AI takeover by 2100, barring pre-APS-AI catastrophe81% chance of Transformative AI (TAI) by 2100, barring pre-TAI catastrophe32% chance of AGI being developed in the next 20 years
A few of the headline aggregate forecasts are:
25% chance of misaligned AI takeover by 2100, barring pre-APS-AI catastrophe
81% chance of Transformative AI (TAI) by 2100, barring pre-TAI catastrophe
32% chance of AGI being developed in the next 20 years
I’ll edit a link to these into the post soon but am getting an error right now when trying to edit.
Just published some up-to-date forecasts here!
I’ll edit a link to these into the post soon but am getting an error right now when trying to edit.