I wonder if it would be worthwhile to include a yes/no/undefined set of buttons that people could use to share if they are basing their decision primarily on second order considerations. Conditional on a significant fraction of people doing so, we might learn something interesting from the vote split in each category. That wouldn’t provide the richness of data that a custom narrative yields, but it is easier to statistically analyze a fixed-response question, and more people may respond to a three-second question than provide a narrative.
That’s interesting- I guess I’m expecting so much diversity in responses that one fixed response question would probably raise more questions than it answered (i.e. “which second-order consideration?”). An alternative would be to send out a short survey afterwards to a randomised group of voters from across the spectrum. Depending on the content of people’s comments maybe we could also categorise them and do some kind of basic analysis (i.e. without sending a survey out).
Makes sense—one use case for me is that I’d be more inclined to defer to community judgment based on certain grounds than on others in allocating my own (much more limited!) funds.
E.g., if perspective X already gets a lot of weight from major funders, or if I think I’m in a fairly good position to weigh X relative to others, then I’d probably defer less. On the other hand, there are some potential cruxes on which various factors point toward more deference.
The specific statement I was reacting to was that people might vote based on their views about what happens after a singularity. For various reasons, I would not be inclined to defer to GH/animal welfare funding splits that were promised on that kind of reasoning. (Not that the reasoning is somehow invalid, it’s just not the kind of data that would materially update how I donate.)
I wonder if it would be worthwhile to include a yes/no/undefined set of buttons that people could use to share if they are basing their decision primarily on second order considerations. Conditional on a significant fraction of people doing so, we might learn something interesting from the vote split in each category. That wouldn’t provide the richness of data that a custom narrative yields, but it is easier to statistically analyze a fixed-response question, and more people may respond to a three-second question than provide a narrative.
That’s interesting- I guess I’m expecting so much diversity in responses that one fixed response question would probably raise more questions than it answered (i.e. “which second-order consideration?”). An alternative would be to send out a short survey afterwards to a randomised group of voters from across the spectrum. Depending on the content of people’s comments maybe we could also categorise them and do some kind of basic analysis (i.e. without sending a survey out).
Makes sense—one use case for me is that I’d be more inclined to defer to community judgment based on certain grounds than on others in allocating my own (much more limited!) funds.
E.g., if perspective X already gets a lot of weight from major funders, or if I think I’m in a fairly good position to weigh X relative to others, then I’d probably defer less. On the other hand, there are some potential cruxes on which various factors point toward more deference.
The specific statement I was reacting to was that people might vote based on their views about what happens after a singularity. For various reasons, I would not be inclined to defer to GH/animal welfare funding splits that were promised on that kind of reasoning. (Not that the reasoning is somehow invalid, it’s just not the kind of data that would materially update how I donate.)