I can see how the “for sure” makes it look overconfident.
Suggest reading the linked-to post. That addresses most of your questions.
As to your idea of having some artificial super-intelligent singleton lead to some kind of alignment between or technological maturity of both planetary cultures, if that’s what you meant, please see here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xp6n2MG5vQkPpFEBH/the-control-problem-unsolved-or-unsolvable
I can see how the “for sure” makes it look overconfident.
Suggest reading the linked-to post. That addresses most of your questions.
As to your idea of having some artificial super-intelligent singleton lead to some kind of alignment between or technological maturity of both planetary cultures, if that’s what you meant, please see here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xp6n2MG5vQkPpFEBH/the-control-problem-unsolved-or-unsolvable