I think answers to this are highly downstream of object-level positions.
If you think timelines are short and scaled-up versions of current architectures will lead to AGI, then âwhat went wrongâ is contributing to vastly greater chance of extinction.
If you donât agree with the above, then âwhat went wrongâ is overly dragging EAâs culture and perception to be focused on AI-Safety, and causing great damage to all of EA (even non-AI-Safety parts) when the OpenAI board saga blew up in Toner & McCauleysâ faces.
Lessons are probably downstream of this diagnosis.
My general lesson aligns with Bryanâs recent postâman is EA bad about communicating what it is, and despite the OpenAI fiasco not being an attempted EA-coup motivated by Pascalâs mugging longtermist concerns, it seems so many people have that as a âcached explanationâ of what went on. Feels to me like that is a big own goal and was avoidable.
Also on OpenAI, I think itâs bad that people like Joshua Achiam who do good work at OpenAI seem to really dislike EA. Thatâs a really bad signâfeels like the AI Safety community could have done more not to alienate people like him maybe.
I think answers to this are highly downstream of object-level positions.
If you think timelines are short and scaled-up versions of current architectures will lead to AGI, then âwhat went wrongâ is contributing to vastly greater chance of extinction.
If you donât agree with the above, then âwhat went wrongâ is overly dragging EAâs culture and perception to be focused on AI-Safety, and causing great damage to all of EA (even non-AI-Safety parts) when the OpenAI board saga blew up in Toner & McCauleysâ faces.
Lessons are probably downstream of this diagnosis.
My general lesson aligns with Bryanâs recent postâman is EA bad about communicating what it is, and despite the OpenAI fiasco not being an attempted EA-coup motivated by Pascalâs mugging longtermist concerns, it seems so many people have that as a âcached explanationâ of what went on. Feels to me like that is a big own goal and was avoidable.
Also on OpenAI, I think itâs bad that people like Joshua Achiam who do good work at OpenAI seem to really dislike EA. Thatâs a really bad signâfeels like the AI Safety community could have done more not to alienate people like him maybe.