I agree with you that the biggest uncertainty right now is on “how does warming and its impact translate into societal consequences?” and I would be keen for anyone reducing the uncertainty there.
As I also discussed in the podcast, I think the biggest indirect longtermist risk from climate likely stems from a situation where non-great-power conflicts made more likely through climate become more catastrophic (e.g. through more distributed bio WMDs).
Thank you!
I agree with you that the biggest uncertainty right now is on “how does warming and its impact translate into societal consequences?” and I would be keen for anyone reducing the uncertainty there.
As I also discussed in the podcast, I think the biggest indirect longtermist risk from climate likely stems from a situation where non-great-power conflicts made more likely through climate become more catastrophic (e.g. through more distributed bio WMDs).