Medical innovation—Trump didn’t really do a lot here last time he was in office. Seems like warp speed was motivated by covid.
Housing—Trump did’t really do a lot here last time he was in office. Not sure we know Harris’ policy here yet.
Immigration—I don’t really trust Trump to manage some sort of clever compromise here
AI—Yeah, trump being worried could be better, but it’s a random roll, against Biden being pretty sober.
This feels more like a desire to be controversial, than really weight the pros and cons. I think it’s plausible that Trump is better, for AI reasons, and I don’t think it’s that unlikely, given the uncertainty, but I think it is unlikely.
I think this is an interesting kind of article, but I don’t buy the AI point, which is the most cruxy one for me.
Comment I wrote on Samuel’s substack:
I think this is an interesting kind of article, but I don’t buy the AI point, which is the most cruxy one for me.