Mo Putera comments on Lorenzo Buonanno’s Quick takes

[Mo Putera]

But if ň=1.5, then theory will predict changes on the scale of 0.076x to 0.128x that of the GD experiments. Ie, exactly in the boundary of whether it’s possible to detect an effect at all or not!

Might be misreading, on a quick skim Sam Nolan’s analysis seemed pertinent but noticed you’d already commented. Sam’s reply still seems useful to me, in particular the data here

In London, it was found to be 1.5, in 20 OECD countries, it was found to be about 1.4. James Snowden assumes 1.59.

although none of those countries are low-income so your concern re: OOD generalisation still applies.

[Linch]

lmao when I commented 3 years ago I said

As is often the case with social science research, we should be skeptical of out-of-country and out-of-distribution generalizability.

and then I just did an out-of-country and out-of-distribution generalization with no caveats! I could be really silly sometimes lol.