For other readers, here’s the context AI Impacts gives for these investigations:
We are collecting cases of discontinuous technological progress, to inform our understanding of whether artificial intelligence research is likely to undergo such a discontinuity. This page details our investigation.
We found that 17 technological trends that underwent at least one discontinuous jump in improvement equivalent to more than a decade at previous rates, 13 of which underwent more than a century of progress. All together we found 68 discontinuities of over ten years, 37 of them of over 100 years.
(I hadn’t read that before reading this, which made it a little harder to interpret or see the significance of the summaries here.)
Thanks for sharing this!
For other readers, here’s the context AI Impacts gives for these investigations:
(I hadn’t read that before reading this, which made it a little harder to interpret or see the significance of the summaries here.)