Firstly, that is if you think that it isn’t inevitable and that it is possible to stop or slow down, if nuclear was going to be developed anyway, that changes the calculus. Even if that is the case there’s also this weird thing within human psychology where if you can point out a positive vision of something, it is often easier for people to kind of get it?
“Don’t do this thing” is often a lot worse than saying something like, could you do this specific thing instead when it comes to convincing people of things. This is also true for specific therapeutic techniques like the perfect day exercise and from a predictive processing perspective this is because you’re kind of anchoring your expectations around something better and it enables you to visualise things that are easier to take actions towards? You have an easier time seeing what actions that you actually have to take?
Finally, this is not likely what the underlying reasoning for why Will is doing something like the positive vision as that is more likely to be about the estimated value from improving the future versus reducing existential risk (see the following post).
Firstly, that is if you think that it isn’t inevitable and that it is possible to stop or slow down, if nuclear was going to be developed anyway, that changes the calculus. Even if that is the case there’s also this weird thing within human psychology where if you can point out a positive vision of something, it is often easier for people to kind of get it?
“Don’t do this thing” is often a lot worse than saying something like, could you do this specific thing instead when it comes to convincing people of things. This is also true for specific therapeutic techniques like the perfect day exercise and from a predictive processing perspective this is because you’re kind of anchoring your expectations around something better and it enables you to visualise things that are easier to take actions towards? You have an easier time seeing what actions that you actually have to take?
Finally, this is not likely what the underlying reasoning for why Will is doing something like the positive vision as that is more likely to be about the estimated value from improving the future versus reducing existential risk (see the following post).