Yeah, that might be a crux of mine. Although in this case he should have longer timelines because paradigm shifts take quite a while to do, and aren’t nearly so fast that we can get such a conceptual breakthrough in 10 years. In fact this could take centuries to get the new paradigm.
If we require entirely new paradigms or concepts to get AGI, then we can basically close up the field of AI and declare safety achieved.
Yeah, that might be a crux of mine. Although in this case he should have longer timelines because paradigm shifts take quite a while to do, and aren’t nearly so fast that we can get such a conceptual breakthrough in 10 years. In fact this could take centuries to get the new paradigm.
If we require entirely new paradigms or concepts to get AGI, then we can basically close up the field of AI and declare safety achieved.