David Mathers🔸 comments on Is There Actually a Standard or Convincing Response to David Thorstad’s Criticisms of the Value of X-Risk Reduction and of Longtermism?

[David Mathers🔸]

Interesting, the paper is older than Thorstad’s blogposts, but it could still be that people are thinking of this as “the answer”.

[LeonardDung]

Yes, one might say that, even if successful, Tarsney’s arguments don’t really negate Thorstad’s. It’s more that, using a more comprehensive modeling approach, we see that—even taking Thorstad’s arguments into account—fanatical longtermism remains correct and non-fanatical longtermism remains plausible given some/​many/​most plausible empirical assumptions. But I don’t remember exactly what all of Thorstad’s specific arguments in the paper were and how/​whether they are accounted for in Tarsney’s paper, so someone better informed may please correct me.