I think Nate is saying that the question was actually “will he cause harm on his way to doing good” or “will he do only good” and the correct conclusion was in fact “he will cause harm in his way to doing good” and that this was a binary fact about the universe.
But tangled in that is that at the time he thought that the question was “is he good” vs “is he bad” or something. And on this he did the false average and shrug thing. So Duncan’s answer is quite relevant imo.
I think Nate is saying that the question was actually “will he cause harm on his way to doing good” or “will he do only good” and the correct conclusion was in fact “he will cause harm in his way to doing good” and that this was a binary fact about the universe.
But tangled in that is that at the time he thought that the question was “is he good” vs “is he bad” or something. And on this he did the false average and shrug thing. So Duncan’s answer is quite relevant imo.