Thomas Kwa🔹 comments on I bet superforecaster David Manheim 2 k$ that the unemployment rate in the United States in 2027 will be lower than 8 %

[Thomas Kwa🔹]

Agree. Given that Vasco is willing to give 2:1 odds for 2029 below, this bet should have been 3:1 or better for David. It would have been a better signal of the midpoint odds to the community.

[Davidmanheim]

I would have been happy to get better odds, obviously!