...it occurs to me that it’s worrying in very different directions if FRED changes what or how they report. If they stop reporting or data collection is halted for political reasons, I’d expect that we either pick an arbiter to make the call, or agree to call the bet off.
I see. By default, I think the bet should resolve as specified, “as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)”. However, I would be happy to do as you suggested if we agree there was a significant change in the reliability or definition of the unemployment rate reported by FRED.
...it occurs to me that it’s worrying in very different directions if FRED changes what or how they report. If they stop reporting or data collection is halted for political reasons, I’d expect that we either pick an arbiter to make the call, or agree to call the bet off.
I see. By default, I think the bet should resolve as specified, “as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)”. However, I would be happy to do as you suggested if we agree there was a significant change in the reliability or definition of the unemployment rate reported by FRED.