On average, I expect it made things better, since I expect cause neutrality to be helpful.
I’m implicitly assuming that global poverty is an unusually uncontroversial cause.
I don’t see why this change in particular would be expected to lead to a higher dropout rate. At face value, one might expect a broader pledge to have a lower dropout rate.
I guess in the limit if the pledge became sufficiently expansive it would become impossible to fail to comply!
I think locally the effect is likely to be negative, though I don’t have much confidence either way till we see the data. Nor do I see much value in speculating on this, save to encourage the release of such data.
I’m implicitly assuming that global poverty is an unusually uncontroversial cause.
I guess in the limit if the pledge became sufficiently expansive it would become impossible to fail to comply!
I think locally the effect is likely to be negative, though I don’t have much confidence either way till we see the data. Nor do I see much value in speculating on this, save to encourage the release of such data.