“Is Horizon x-risk pilled?” feels like a misguided question. The organization doesn’t claim to be, and it would also be problematic if the organization were acting in an x-risk-pilled-way but but deceitful about it. I’m certainly confident that some Horizon people/fellows are personally x-risk-pilled, and some are not.
For x-risk-focused donors, I think the more reasonable question is: How much should we expect ‘expertise and aptitude around emerging tech policy’ (as Horizon interprets it) to correlate with the outcomes those donors care about? One could reasonably conclude that that correlation’s low or even negative. But it’s also not like there’s a viable counterfactual ‘X-risk-pilled Institute for Public Service’ that would achieve a similar level of success at placing fellows.
(I’d guess you might directionally agree with this and just think the correlation isn’t that high, but figured I’d comment to at least add the nuance).
“Is Horizon x-risk pilled?” feels like a misguided question. The organization doesn’t claim to be, and it would also be problematic if the organization were acting in an x-risk-pilled-way but but deceitful about it. I’m certainly confident that some Horizon people/fellows are personally x-risk-pilled, and some are not.
For x-risk-focused donors, I think the more reasonable question is: How much should we expect ‘expertise and aptitude around emerging tech policy’ (as Horizon interprets it) to correlate with the outcomes those donors care about? One could reasonably conclude that that correlation’s low or even negative. But it’s also not like there’s a viable counterfactual ‘X-risk-pilled Institute for Public Service’ that would achieve a similar level of success at placing fellows.
(I’d guess you might directionally agree with this and just think the correlation isn’t that high, but figured I’d comment to at least add the nuance).