@tlevin I would be interested in you writing up this post, though I’d be even more interested in hearing your thoughts on the regulatory proposal Thomas is proposing.
Note that both of your points seem to be arguing against a pause, whereas my impression is that Thomas’s post focuses more on implementing a national regulatory body.
(I read Thomas’s post as basically saying like “eh, I know there’s an AI pause debate going on, but actually this pause stuff is not as important as getting good policies. Specifically, we should have a federal agency that does licensing for frontier AI systems, hardware monitoring for advanced chips, and tracking of risks. If there’s an AI-related emergency or evidence of imminent danger, then the agency can activate emergency powers to swiftly respond.”
I think the “snap-back” point and the “long-term supply curve of compute” point seem most relevant to a “should we pause?” debate, but they seem less relevant to Thomas’s regulatory body proposal. Let me know if you think I’m missing something, though!)
@tlevin I would be interested in you writing up this post, though I’d be even more interested in hearing your thoughts on the regulatory proposal Thomas is proposing.
Note that both of your points seem to be arguing against a pause, whereas my impression is that Thomas’s post focuses more on implementing a national regulatory body.
(I read Thomas’s post as basically saying like “eh, I know there’s an AI pause debate going on, but actually this pause stuff is not as important as getting good policies. Specifically, we should have a federal agency that does licensing for frontier AI systems, hardware monitoring for advanced chips, and tracking of risks. If there’s an AI-related emergency or evidence of imminent danger, then the agency can activate emergency powers to swiftly respond.”
I think the “snap-back” point and the “long-term supply curve of compute” point seem most relevant to a “should we pause?” debate, but they seem less relevant to Thomas’s regulatory body proposal. Let me know if you think I’m missing something, though!)