I’d say it’s more than a vague intuition. It follows from alignment/control/misuse/coordination not being (close to) solved and ASI being much more powerful than humanity. I think it should be possible to formalise it, even. “AGIs will be helping us on a lot of tasks”, “collusion is hard” and “people will get more scared over time” aren’t anywhere close to overcoming it imo.
It follows from alignment/control/misuse/coordination not being (close to) solved.
“AGIs will be helping us on a lot of tasks”, “collusion is hard” and “people will get more scared over time” aren’t anywhere close to overcoming it imo.
These are what I mean by the vague intuitions.
I think it should be possible to formalise it, even
Nobody has come anywhere near doing this satisfactorily. The most obvious explanation is that they can’t.
I’d say it’s more than a vague intuition. It follows from alignment/control/misuse/coordination not being (close to) solved and ASI being much more powerful than humanity. I think it should be possible to formalise it, even. “AGIs will be helping us on a lot of tasks”, “collusion is hard” and “people will get more scared over time” aren’t anywhere close to overcoming it imo.
These are what I mean by the vague intuitions.
Nobody has come anywhere near doing this satisfactorily. The most obvious explanation is that they can’t.