Therefore there are no uncertainties associated with predictions made in expectation. Adding the magic words “in expectation” allows longtermists to make predictions about the future confidently and with absolute certainty.”
But I think that this is simply false: our predictions (as well as other credences) can differ in how “resilient” they are
Masrani writes:
But I think that this is simply false: our predictions (as well as other credences) can differ in how “resilient” they are
See e.g. Credal resilience and Use resilience, instead of imprecision, to communicate uncertainty