I’ll respond here, but basically my following points are:
Expected Value maximization basically state that if you want maximum reward from something, you have to be willing to accept some risk for massive rewards. Heuristics that can lead you to the goal are:
Unproven genetic engineering citizen science are more valuable than you think, though it can be tricky to know the distribution of genetic edits. If they’re a normal distribution, than safety is more favored. If they’re power-law distributed, than risk taking is more favorable.
But let’s go on to my next point:
I agree with you on reflection here.
This is admittedly orthogonal to my concerns, but my biggest disagreement is with the ecologist’s statement that “Ecologists are likely to be a demanding audience: a resurrected mammoth counts as mammoth only if it looks like a mammoth and consumes, defecates, tramples and migrates like a mammoth.”
I’ll respond here, but basically my following points are:
Expected Value maximization basically state that if you want maximum reward from something, you have to be willing to accept some risk for massive rewards. Heuristics that can lead you to the goal are:
Unproven genetic engineering citizen science are more valuable than you think, though it can be tricky to know the distribution of genetic edits. If they’re a normal distribution, than safety is more favored. If they’re power-law distributed, than risk taking is more favorable.
But let’s go on to my next point:
I agree with you on reflection here.
This is admittedly orthogonal to my concerns, but my biggest disagreement is with the ecologist’s statement that “Ecologists are likely to be a demanding audience: a resurrected mammoth counts as mammoth only if it looks like a mammoth and consumes, defecates, tramples and migrates like a mammoth.”
Unfortunately, I don’t have one ready right now.
Here’s my response to you.