You might also want to check AI impacts’ work on AI timelines https://aiimpacts.org/category/ai-timelines/, particularly their surveys: https://aiimpacts.org/category/ai-timelines/predictions-of-human-level-ai-timelines/ai-timeline-surveys/
You might also want to check AI impacts’ work on AI timelines https://aiimpacts.org/category/ai-timelines/, particularly their surveys: https://aiimpacts.org/category/ai-timelines/predictions-of-human-level-ai-timelines/ai-timeline-surveys/