In short, we think this model supports the intuitive idea that as capital accumulates, earning to give should eventually be phased out, though as noted we are uncertain about whether EA has reached that point already.
I guess that the claim that the fraction of people that earn to give should gradually be reduced is based on EAs having correct beliefs about the relative value of earning to give. If they originally underestimated the relative value of earning to give, and then correct that underestimate, it could be that they at least temporarily should increase the fraction of people that earn to give (I’m not claiming that, but just mention it as a possibility).
That’s interesting regarding earning to give.
I guess that the claim that the fraction of people that earn to give should gradually be reduced is based on EAs having correct beliefs about the relative value of earning to give. If they originally underestimated the relative value of earning to give, and then correct that underestimate, it could be that they at least temporarily should increase the fraction of people that earn to give (I’m not claiming that, but just mention it as a possibility).
Good point, thanks!