Thanks for posting this. Sounds like an exciting project.
There have been a number of experimental studies done on improving individual and group forecasting, and a couple of organisations currently provide training in a classroom/workshop setting. From my knowledge the framework being proposing is quite different to these (albeit I respect it can only explain it at a high level here). What’s the main evidence base guiding this approach and what’s the expected increase in accuracy attendees can expect the course to have?
Thanks for posting this. Sounds like an exciting project.
There have been a number of experimental studies done on improving individual and group forecasting, and a couple of organisations currently provide training in a classroom/workshop setting. From my knowledge the framework being proposing is quite different to these (albeit I respect it can only explain it at a high level here). What’s the main evidence base guiding this approach and what’s the expected increase in accuracy attendees can expect the course to have?
Thanks for the comment, James!
I am tagging @jsteinhardt in case he wants to reply.