Assume for the purpose of this question that HLMI* will at some point exist. How positive or negative do you expect the overall impact of this to be on humanity, in the long run?
So it doesn’t presuppose some agentic form of AGI—but rather asks about the same type of technology that the median respondant gave a 50% chance of arriving within 45 years.
*HLMI was defined in the survey as:
“High-level machine intelligence” (HLMI) is achieved when unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers.
The question was:
So it doesn’t presuppose some agentic form of AGI—but rather asks about the same type of technology that the median respondant gave a 50% chance of arriving within 45 years.
*HLMI was defined in the survey as: