On the 1st point, I think one should borrow money from banks until the conditions for borrowing additional money become as good as those of the available bets, and then get money both ways afterwards. Refusing a bet which is beneficial relative to nothing because there are loans with better conditions suggests one should be asking for more loans.
On the 2nd point, I wondered about the possibility of Greg not fulfilling the bet in order to decrease AI risk further, but I believe the world will look roughly the same way as now in terms of risk. So I expect Greg will not be much more worried than now, and therefore will fulfill the bet.
Nice points, Sasha!
On the 1st point, I think one should borrow money from banks until the conditions for borrowing additional money become as good as those of the available bets, and then get money both ways afterwards. Refusing a bet which is beneficial relative to nothing because there are loans with better conditions suggests one should be asking for more loans.
On the 2nd point, I wondered about the possibility of Greg not fulfilling the bet in order to decrease AI risk further, but I believe the world will look roughly the same way as now in terms of risk. So I expect Greg will not be much more worried than now, and therefore will fulfill the bet.
As previously referred to, I can’t get bank loans (no stable income).