But point 3 relies on underconfident estimates of the individual factors.
I’m not sure that addresses Buck’s point. I just don’t think you can reduce this to “people tend to be overconfident”, even if it’s a conclusion in a limited domain.
But point 3 relies on underconfident estimates of the individual factors.
I’m not sure that addresses Buck’s point. I just don’t think you can reduce this to “people tend to be overconfident”, even if it’s a conclusion in a limited domain.