I am still waiting for an analysis comparing the Brian Toon article on nuclear winter and the Los Alamos nuclear winter paper that predicts much smaller cooling effects.
I’d also be keen to see additional work on the climate, agricultural, and famine effects of nuclear war, perhaps ideally by a third team which isn’t connected to either of those teams. I may soon write a (not super in-depth or groundbreaking) set of summaries/​analyses of the limited work that does exist, for posting on the Forum. In the meantime, you may find the back-and-forth between the Toon team and the Reisner team interesting (if you haven’t seen it already):
I’d also be keen to see additional work on the climate, agricultural, and famine effects of nuclear war, perhaps ideally by a third team which isn’t connected to either of those teams.
You have probably read the Nature article but they predict 5 billion dead (out of 6.7 billion using 2010 statistics.)
I’d also be keen to see additional work on the climate, agricultural, and famine effects of nuclear war, perhaps ideally by a third team which isn’t connected to either of those teams. I may soon write a (not super in-depth or groundbreaking) set of summaries/​analyses of the limited work that does exist, for posting on the Forum. In the meantime, you may find the back-and-forth between the Toon team and the Reisner team interesting (if you haven’t seen it already):
https://​​agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/​​doi/​​pdf/​​10.1029/​​2019JD030777
https://​​agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/​​doi/​​pdf/​​10.1029/​​2019JD031281
You have probably read the Nature article but they predict 5 billion dead (out of 6.7 billion using 2010 statistics.)
https://​​www.nature.com/​​articles/​​s43016-022-00573-0
People are freaking out over their analysis.
https://​​www.reddit.com/​​r/​​science/​​comments/​​wp3t34/​​nuclear_war_would_cause_global_famine_with_more/​​