Surely as their gold standard “career change” pin-up story, they could find a higher EV career change.
You’re assuming that the EV of switches from global health to biosecurity is lower than the EV of switching from something else to biosecurity. Even though global health is better than most cause areas, this could be false in practice for at least two reasons
If the impact of biosecurity careers is many times higher than the impact of global health, and people currently in global health are slightly more talented, altruistic, or hardworking.
If people currently in global health are not doing the most effective global health interventions.
Hey Thomas—I think Isaac was making a related point above as well.
Yes you’re right that under my assumptions the potential EV switch from global health to biosecurity could well be high than switching from something else. Like you said especially if their global health work is bad, or if they are doing less effective things.
On the flipside someone could also be very, very good at global health work with a lot of specific expertise, passion and career capital, which they might not carry into their biosecurity job. This could at the very least least could narrow the EV gap between the 2 careers.
You’re assuming that the EV of switches from global health to biosecurity is lower than the EV of switching from something else to biosecurity. Even though global health is better than most cause areas, this could be false in practice for at least two reasons
If the impact of biosecurity careers is many times higher than the impact of global health, and people currently in global health are slightly more talented, altruistic, or hardworking.
If people currently in global health are not doing the most effective global health interventions.
Hey Thomas—I think Isaac was making a related point above as well.
Yes you’re right that under my assumptions the potential EV switch from global health to biosecurity could well be high than switching from something else. Like you said especially if their global health work is bad, or if they are doing less effective things.
On the flipside someone could also be very, very good at global health work with a lot of specific expertise, passion and career capital, which they might not carry into their biosecurity job. This could at the very least least could narrow the EV gap between the 2 careers.