This is a very good point, when huge companies get split the stock usually rises.
When Alibaba was forced to split into six separate groups the stock went up 10%. Please someone correct me if I’m wrong, but if I remember correctly when Standard Oil split into 43 companies the combined stocks also appreciated a lot.
Quick flag that this is mixed evidence for “EA organizations should be very small”.
First, this focuses on gigantic organizations. Alphabet has around 190k employees now, ~60k in 2015 when it “split”. https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GOOG/alphabet/number-of-employees. I believe we have more information about mergers and acquisitions than we do companies splitting up, and there I think things seem more favorable. (My impression is that companies often do more M&A than investors would want, but there are definitely some cases where it’s a good fit for both executives and investors.)
Second, I believe one big reason why the stock market prefers large companies be split up is because that way they could invest less in the parts that funders don’t like. In the case of Alphabet, I believe the executives were spending a lot of money on non-search products that investors would have rather been shut down. I’m not sure how much this applies to the nonprofit case, at least in worlds where funders have a lot of control.
This is a very good point, when huge companies get split the stock usually rises.
When Alibaba was forced to split into six separate groups the stock went up 10%. Please someone correct me if I’m wrong, but if I remember correctly when Standard Oil split into 43 companies the combined stocks also appreciated a lot.
Quick flag that this is mixed evidence for “EA organizations should be very small”.
First, this focuses on gigantic organizations. Alphabet has around 190k employees now, ~60k in 2015 when it “split”. https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GOOG/alphabet/number-of-employees. I believe we have more information about mergers and acquisitions than we do companies splitting up, and there I think things seem more favorable. (My impression is that companies often do more M&A than investors would want, but there are definitely some cases where it’s a good fit for both executives and investors.)
Second, I believe one big reason why the stock market prefers large companies be split up is because that way they could invest less in the parts that funders don’t like. In the case of Alphabet, I believe the executives were spending a lot of money on non-search products that investors would have rather been shut down. I’m not sure how much this applies to the nonprofit case, at least in worlds where funders have a lot of control.
I agree, if anything data in the for-profit world probably updates me against very-small-sized companies being optimal.
That argument just doesn’t go all the way to trillion dollar behemoths like I thought.
In the non-profit world, GiveWell’s top charities seem to have very different team sizes, so maybe we just can’t say much with generality.