I don’t buy that someone can jump on the markets and mess with them. Manifold (or better real money) markets have great incentives against this. I am unaware of any time this has happened in a way that it would in a live prediction market.
Manifold markets hasn’t solved longterm market incentives yet:https://​​manifold.markets/​​Nu%C3%B1oSempere/​​this-question-will-resolve-positive-4a418ad86de3#jdUj58EdDXBbF8ZNyXaTThere are even accounts dedicated to messing with Manifold markets:https://​​manifold.markets/​​ButtocksCocktoasten?tab=questionsManifold doubled mana loan amounts this month to try to mitigate the longterm market incentive issues on the platform
Manifold markets hasn’t solved longterm market incentives yet:
https://​​manifold.markets/​​Nu%C3%B1oSempere/​​this-question-will-resolve-positive-4a418ad86de3#jdUj58EdDXBbF8ZNyXaT
There are even accounts dedicated to messing with Manifold markets:
https://​​manifold.markets/​​ButtocksCocktoasten?tab=questions
Manifold doubled mana loan amounts this month to try to mitigate the longterm market incentive issues on the platform