I feel like everyone just has a different threshold to what they feel is being Mugged by the main man Pascal. I think @Vasco Grilošø just has a higher threshold than othersājudging by comments like this āI would say a 10^-100 chance of 10^100 QALY is exactly as good as a 100 % chance of 1 QALYā
On that note I do wonder if I showed up at Vascos house and said āI am from the future, if you give me 20,000 dollars now I will reduce all animal suffering in the future by 50%ā whether heād hand me the cash on the off chance.ā¦ :D.
Might do a poll on this sometime asking peoples āMugging thresholdsā, but I would need different orders of magnitude of probabilities on the poll (not just agree/ādisagree) so its probably ont possible at the moment...
On that note I do wonder if I showed up at Vascos house and said āI am from the future, if you give me 20,000 dollars now I will reduce all animal suffering in the future by 50%ā whether heād hand me the cash on the off chance.ā¦ :D.
This was funny. I would not hand you 20 k$. I would guess the probability of you decreasing future suffering by 50 % to be infinitesimal, although I would ask a few questions to make sure. However, I would be happy to buy you a dinner!
I feel like everyone just has a different threshold to what they feel is being Mugged by the main man Pascal. I think @Vasco Grilošø just has a higher threshold than othersājudging by comments like this āI would say a 10^-100 chance of 10^100 QALY is exactly as good as a 100 % chance of 1 QALYā
On that note I do wonder if I showed up at Vascos house and said āI am from the future, if you give me 20,000 dollars now I will reduce all animal suffering in the future by 50%ā whether heād hand me the cash on the off chance.ā¦ :D.
Might do a poll on this sometime asking peoples āMugging thresholdsā, but I would need different orders of magnitude of probabilities on the poll (not just agree/ādisagree) so its probably ont possible at the moment...
This was funny. I would not hand you 20 k$. I would guess the probability of you decreasing future suffering by 50 % to be infinitesimal, although I would ask a few questions to make sure. However, I would be happy to buy you a dinner!