The comment that Ajeya is replying to is this one from Ryan, who says his timelines are roughly the geometric mean of Ajeya’s and Daniel’s original views in the post. That is sqrt(4*13) = 7.2 years from the time of the post, so roughly 6 years from now.
As Josh says, the timelines in the original post were answering the question “Median Estimate for when 99% of currently fully remote jobs will be automatable”.
So I think it was a fair summary of Ajeya’s comment.
The comment that Ajeya is replying to is this one from Ryan, who says his timelines are roughly the geometric mean of Ajeya’s and Daniel’s original views in the post. That is sqrt(4*13) = 7.2 years from the time of the post, so roughly 6 years from now.
As Josh says, the timelines in the original post were answering the question “Median Estimate for when 99% of currently fully remote jobs will be automatable”.
So I think it was a fair summary of Ajeya’s comment.