The relevant questions I’m aware of are this and these. So I guess I’d encourage people to answer those as well. Those questions are also linked to in the database already, so answers there would contribute to the pool here. And I believe people could comment there to explain their reasoning, what estimates they’d previously seen, etc.
There are more questions I’d be interested in estimates for which aren’t on Metaculus at the moment (e.g., 100% rather than >95%, dystopia rather than other risks). But I imagine they could easily be put up by someone. (I’m not very familiar with the platform yet.)
Good point.
The relevant questions I’m aware of are this and these. So I guess I’d encourage people to answer those as well. Those questions are also linked to in the database already, so answers there would contribute to the pool here. And I believe people could comment there to explain their reasoning, what estimates they’d previously seen, etc.
There are more questions I’d be interested in estimates for which aren’t on Metaculus at the moment (e.g., 100% rather than >95%, dystopia rather than other risks). But I imagine they could easily be put up by someone. (I’m not very familiar with the platform yet.)