Ah good point, OK I think I was too bold there. Perhaps the weaker thing I should have said is that I don’t think these effects would be large and that I don’t have a good suggestion for what GiveWell could practically do to implement any possible correlations among these variables.
Yes perhaps, I suppose one disanalogy is the length of time spent thinking about the topic—I would hope GiveWell’s work is more thorough than mine.
Ah good point, OK I think I was too bold there. Perhaps the weaker thing I should have said is that I don’t think these effects would be large and that I don’t have a good suggestion for what GiveWell could practically do to implement any possible correlations among these variables.
Do you think you making that mistake could serve as a good model for how they could have made the mistakes that you think they made?
Yes perhaps, I suppose one disanalogy is the length of time spent thinking about the topic—I would hope GiveWell’s work is more thorough than mine.