Very open to it. It occurs to me now that I know very little about the cultures of many OECD countries: It includes countries that have much stronger food cultures (hard to share meals over VR), weaker media cultures, and larger aged populations, and also the “OECD” might be expanded at some point.
Should we just focus in on the US.
I trust we’ll be able to agree on the rest of the operationalization, or a mediator, and exemptions, when the time comes.
Thinking about this has made me realize how nearterm crypto prediction markets that depend on staking are going to be. If had to stake the money for 8 years I would have just been like “lol no”. But any mechanism I can think of for extracting debts from a person’s ‘main wallet’ after a long time period are basically going to be incompatible with anonymity or possibly even financial privacy or exit rights. I’m not sure that cryptopunk pirate types will ever build such a thing. In the least, the system itself would not have a very cryptopunk or pirate character.
Resolution by “gentleman’s agreement”, e.g., see here: “It is a ″gentleman’s agreement″ where we will attempt to come to consensus between ourselves on the resolution in good faith. In the event of no agreement, we will each donate $100 to charity. Winner: unknown.”
I’m not thinking about having some crypto protocol, I’m thinking about relying on the social layer.
To take this bet, say “book it” and whether you want it to be about OECD countries or just about the US.
Disappointingly, realizing my actual beliefs are softer and broader. When I said “most”, I was thinking “most of the places that I think we should be paying close attention to and operating in (ML research),” but I really must not have wanted to expose and discuss that assumption, probably due to some crappy dynamics that I am getting tired of dancing around...
There might still be a bet we can make, but it would presumably be about the parts of the world that I think are not strategically relevant, it always is, and I would have to study them even more, despite not being authentically interested in them. Would you really make me do that?
Very open to it. It occurs to me now that I know very little about the cultures of many OECD countries: It includes countries that have much stronger food cultures (hard to share meals over VR), weaker media cultures, and larger aged populations, and also the “OECD” might be expanded at some point. Should we just focus in on the US.
I trust we’ll be able to agree on the rest of the operationalization, or a mediator, and exemptions, when the time comes.
Thinking about this has made me realize how nearterm crypto prediction markets that depend on staking are going to be. If had to stake the money for 8 years I would have just been like “lol no”. But any mechanism I can think of for extracting debts from a person’s ‘main wallet’ after a long time period are basically going to be incompatible with anonymity or possibly even financial privacy or exit rights. I’m not sure that cryptopunk pirate types will ever build such a thing. In the least, the system itself would not have a very cryptopunk or pirate character.
Operationalization:
I’m indifferent between OECD countries and the US
Resolution by “gentleman’s agreement”, e.g., see here: “It is a ″gentleman’s agreement″ where we will attempt to come to consensus between ourselves on the resolution in good faith. In the event of no agreement, we will each donate $100 to charity. Winner: unknown.”
I’m not thinking about having some crypto protocol, I’m thinking about relying on the social layer.
To take this bet, say “book it” and whether you want it to be about OECD countries or just about the US.
Disappointingly, realizing my actual beliefs are softer and broader. When I said “most”, I was thinking “most of the places that I think we should be paying close attention to and operating in (ML research),” but I really must not have wanted to expose and discuss that assumption, probably due to some crappy dynamics that I am getting tired of dancing around...
There might still be a bet we can make, but it would presumably be about the parts of the world that I think are not strategically relevant, it always is, and I would have to study them even more, despite not being authentically interested in them. Would you really make me do that?
No. As a result, I strongly downvoted the post.
Understandable. I wish I’d put more thought into the title before posting, but I vividly remember having hit some sort of nontrivial stamina limit.