I don’t think VR will be so good that it replaces text and other asynchronous social interaction, given text’s many advantages. (There is a reason why we are here on the EA Forum, and not some EA Youtube Channel!) Similarly, it will be hard for VR to outpace the social interaction that people have with the people they live with IRL, becoming the dominant mode of “live” conversation. So “most social interaction by 2030″ seems crazy to me.
But I think some scaled-back predictions would be much stronger. At least among the tech & EA circles, VR will definitely surpass zoom-calling and telephone calls by 2030. And I wouldn’t be surprised if VR became the dominant mode of live conversation specifically among some subset of remote workers (like “young people living outside of urban centers”) by 2030. I would also predict that by 2030 there will be a lot more remote workers!
I don’t think VR will be so good that it replaces text and other asynchronous social interaction, given text’s many advantages. (There is a reason why we are here on the EA Forum, and not some EA Youtube Channel!) Similarly, it will be hard for VR to outpace the social interaction that people have with the people they live with IRL, becoming the dominant mode of “live” conversation. So “most social interaction by 2030″ seems crazy to me.
But I think some scaled-back predictions would be much stronger. At least among the tech & EA circles, VR will definitely surpass zoom-calling and telephone calls by 2030. And I wouldn’t be surprised if VR became the dominant mode of live conversation specifically among some subset of remote workers (like “young people living outside of urban centers”) by 2030. I would also predict that by 2030 there will be a lot more remote workers!