I think the message of SlateStarCodex’s “Tuesday Shouldn’t Change The Narrative” is particularly relevant to EAs—any large updates to one’s beliefs about the world should have come before the election.
Agreed that large updates about things like the prevalence of regressive attitudes and the fragility of democracy should have been made before the election. But Trump’s election itself has changed many EA-relevant parameters—international cooperation, x-risk, probability of animal welfare legislation, environmental policy, etc. So there may be room for substantial updates on the fact that Trump and a Republican Congress will be governing.
That said, it’s not immediately obvious to me how the marginal value of any EA effort has changed, and I worry about major updates being made out of a kneejerk reaction to the horribleness of someone like Trump being elected.
I think the message of SlateStarCodex’s “Tuesday Shouldn’t Change The Narrative” is particularly relevant to EAs—any large updates to one’s beliefs about the world should have come before the election.
Agreed that large updates about things like the prevalence of regressive attitudes and the fragility of democracy should have been made before the election. But Trump’s election itself has changed many EA-relevant parameters—international cooperation, x-risk, probability of animal welfare legislation, environmental policy, etc. So there may be room for substantial updates on the fact that Trump and a Republican Congress will be governing.
That said, it’s not immediately obvious to me how the marginal value of any EA effort has changed, and I worry about major updates being made out of a kneejerk reaction to the horribleness of someone like Trump being elected.