Small movements (like species with few members, I think[1]) die more quickly, as do younger movements.
Also EA seems to have a quite specific type of person it appeals to & a stronger dependence on current intellectual strands (it did not develop separately in China & the Anglosphere and continental Europe), which seems narrower than socialism/communism/reactionary thought.
I think it’s good to worry about EA disappearing or failing in other ways (becoming a cargo-cult shell of its original form, mixing up instrumental and terminal goals, stagnating & disappearing like general semantics &c).
Small movements (like species with few members, I think[1]) die more quickly, as do younger movements.
Also EA seems to have a quite specific type of person it appeals to & a stronger dependence on current intellectual strands (it did not develop separately in China & the Anglosphere and continental Europe), which seems narrower than socialism/communism/reactionary thought.
I think it’s good to worry about EA disappearing or failing in other ways (becoming a cargo-cult shell of its original form, mixing up instrumental and terminal goals, stagnating & disappearing like general semantics &c).
I’ve tried to find a paper investigating this question, but haven’t been successful—anyone got a link?