Epistemic Institutions, Research That Can Help Us Improve
If we had access to a crystal ball that allowed us to know exactly what our grants five years from now otherwise would have been, we can make substantially better decisions now. Just making the grants we’d otherwise have made five years in the future can save a lot of grantmaking time and money, as well as cause many amazing projects to happen more quickly.
We don’t have a crystal ball that lets us see future grants. But perhaps high-quality forecasts can be the next best thing. Thus, we’re extremely excited about people experimenting with Prediction-Evaluation setups to predict the Future Fund’s future grants with high accuracy, helping us to potentially allocate better grants more quickly.
Predicting Our Future Grants
Epistemic Institutions, Research That Can Help Us Improve
If we had access to a crystal ball that allowed us to know exactly what our grants five years from now otherwise would have been, we can make substantially better decisions now. Just making the grants we’d otherwise have made five years in the future can save a lot of grantmaking time and money, as well as cause many amazing projects to happen more quickly.
We don’t have a crystal ball that lets us see future grants. But perhaps high-quality forecasts can be the next best thing. Thus, we’re extremely excited about people experimenting with Prediction-Evaluation setups to predict the Future Fund’s future grants with high accuracy, helping us to potentially allocate better grants more quickly.