Words of estimative probability from the intelligence world is a related concept.
The problem with these is having everyone on the same page of what the words mean. I recall Toby Ord not liking the IPCC’s use of them in The Precipice for this reason.
I agree that words are quite imprecise and usually having numbers is superior.
Words of estimative probability from the intelligence world is a related concept.
The problem with these is having everyone on the same page of what the words mean. I recall Toby Ord not liking the IPCC’s use of them in The Precipice for this reason.
I agree that words are quite imprecise and usually having numbers is superior.