It seems like the development of these would increase expected value massively in the medium term. I’m not sure what the effect on long term expected value would be (because we’d expect to develop these at some point anyway in the long term).
Good point. In the long run, the important thing is to reach the best attractor point / asymptotic trajectory. We need to develop much better understanding of the space of attractors (“possible ultimate fates”) and the factors leading to reaching one rather than another. I’d say that the things I mentioned are definitely on the wish list of the attractor we want to select.
It seems like the development of these would increase expected value massively in the medium term. I’m not sure what the effect on long term expected value would be (because we’d expect to develop these at some point anyway in the long term).
Good point. In the long run, the important thing is to reach the best attractor point / asymptotic trajectory. We need to develop much better understanding of the space of attractors (“possible ultimate fates”) and the factors leading to reaching one rather than another. I’d say that the things I mentioned are definitely on the wish list of the attractor we want to select.