No, it would not. Per the frame that makes the argument more compelling, as I said; “Secondly, they may be even more successful in building significantly more powerful AI, transforming the world. Obviously, the nonprofit would become far wealthier, but given OpenAI’s mandate, it also becomes irrelevant.”
But within the first option, if they are actually more than doubling their value yearly (as implied by 100x in 6 years, which matches their current revenue growth continuing at the current rate,) if they give away $20 billion per year, starting at their current valuation of $150 billion, they end up giving away only a small fraction of their eventual endowment—about 13%. And in that case, given that it’s hard to spend 13% of $150b effectively, it’s going to be far harder to spend any large percentage of their $15 trillion endowment in later years!
No, it would not. Per the frame that makes the argument more compelling, as I said; “Secondly, they may be even more successful in building significantly more powerful AI, transforming the world. Obviously, the nonprofit would become far wealthier, but given OpenAI’s mandate, it also becomes irrelevant.”
But within the first option, if they are actually more than doubling their value yearly (as implied by 100x in 6 years, which matches their current revenue growth continuing at the current rate,) if they give away $20 billion per year, starting at their current valuation of $150 billion, they end up giving away only a small fraction of their eventual endowment—about 13%. And in that case, given that it’s hard to spend 13% of $150b effectively, it’s going to be far harder to spend any large percentage of their $15 trillion endowment in later years!