“forecasting is sometimes considered to be a niche EA cause area”
Given that Open Phil have given many millions to metaculus, and there are a bunch of posts on the forum I would say it may even be more than a niche EA cause area.
I don’t know about this, Open Phil have given billions to GiveWell charities and GHD programmes. A couple of million to a forecasting platform seems niche in comparison.
From here its around 30 million to forecasting orgs so a bit more than a couple of million. Your orders of magnitude less than other causes point probably still stands though.
“forecasting is sometimes considered to be a niche EA cause area”
Given that Open Phil have given many millions to metaculus, and there are a bunch of posts on the forum I would say it may even be more than a niche EA cause area.
It is an OP grantmaking program now, afaik https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ziSEnEg4j8nFvhcni/new-open-philanthropy-grantmaking-program-forecasting
I don’t know about this, Open Phil have given billions to GiveWell charities and GHD programmes. A couple of million to a forecasting platform seems niche in comparison.
From here its around 30 million to forecasting orgs so a bit more than a couple of million. Your orders of magnitude less than other causes point probably still stands though.
https://www.openphilanthropy.org/grants/?q=&focus-area%5B%5D=forecasting