I hope that the risk of nuclear war between China the US remains low. However, 12 out 16 times that there has been a switch in which is the most militarily powerful country in the world, there has been war (Destined for War by Graham Allison) (though we should not take that literally for the current situation).
Absolutely. I agree that the US and China may be on a collision course for war, and that this should make us a bit more worried about a US-China nuclear exchange. I’m in the process of modeling the impacts of such an exchange so we can get a better sense of just how worried we should be.
I hope that the risk of nuclear war between China the US remains low. However, 12 out 16 times that there has been a switch in which is the most militarily powerful country in the world, there has been war (Destined for War by Graham Allison) (though we should not take that literally for the current situation).
Absolutely. I agree that the US and China may be on a collision course for war, and that this should make us a bit more worried about a US-China nuclear exchange. I’m in the process of modeling the impacts of such an exchange so we can get a better sense of just how worried we should be.